Re: IRAN'S Nuclear Capability
Posted: Sat Mar 17, 2007 5:49 pm
I thought that was one of the reasons they came back to the negotiating table. They probably need more food.
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Let me review the last post (prior to this one) again, and I'll reply to it, as well as this one, shortly. (Sorry)!NeonVomit wrote:Edit: miditek, I posed a number of questions in my post-before-last that you did not answer. I am curious, that's all.
NeonVomit wrote:I think the Iraq war is/was even more pointless than the Vietnam war. And I think the American public has finally grasped this.The US could have won the Vienam war? Most probably. And gained what exactly for it? What were they fighting for? 'Freedom'? It was simply a move in the game against the Red Scare.
NeonVomit wrote:What would the soldiers on the ground feel like? It's one thing to defend your country against a direct threat, and another to be dying in the jungles of some godforsaken hellhole for a mere political ideal. Moreover, to have been drafted to die for an idea, and not joined on a voluntary basis. That is why morale and therefore discipline was so poor in the Vietnam war.
NeonVomit wrote:Faced against fighters like the ones Kurtz described, who would do the most horrible atrocious things for what they saw as defending their country against foreign intervention, how could someone who didn't even WANT to be in the military, let alone Vietnam, hope to compete?
NeonVomit wrote:It was a matter of will. Will, from the soldiers on the ground and will from the political leadership, and will from the population at home.They say he who wants it most wins. The US didn't want victory as much as the VC did.
NeonVomit wrote:Overall, American strategy in the Vietnam war was appalling (and I'm not talking about military strategy, US forces convincingly won most direct engagements, and VC forces learned to avoid them at all costs). Many lessons were learned from that, but then the Iraq war happened.
NeonVomit wrote:Plenty of parallels with Iraq today, and that's reflected in dwindling recruitment numbers. The US supposedly intervened due to a WMD threat. None were found.
NeonVomit wrote: Selling the 'to remove a brutal dictator' line is a joke, if that were even remotely true the US would have to be charging into many other countries to do the same 'good'. I imagine soldiers there are fed up with just being attacked, and being there when they feel they're not achieving anything.
NeonVomit wrote:The first war against Saddam was different. He invaded a neighbouring country, and there was an international outcry. The US and other coalition forces knew they were going in to liberate Kuwait, and that objective was achieved with clarity and efficiancy. In my mind, they should've finished off the job there and then, with world opinion on their side and clear provocative action from Saddam.
NeonVomit wrote:Soldiers are not stupid, blind automons, much as people may imagine to the contrary. They're people who think and feel. They are bound to follow the orders they're given, but when they are not sure what they're even fighting for, there's a lot less motivation to even bother or care.
NeonVomit wrote:Actually, I heard a very interesting theory last night from a half Iraqi/half Iranian friend of mine. Her dad had been exiled from Iraq under Saddam, but after his fall he returned and started a radio station in Baghdad. She claims the US forces could easily sort out the situation if they wanted to, but don't, simply to have an excuse to maintain a presence in the region.
NeonVomit wrote:She's been there quite a bit recently, and dislikes the Americans for not doing enough to clear up the mess and letting the status quo perpetuate. I didn't get that deep into it because it's a sensitive subject and the time and place were all wrong, but it is an interesting concept, and food for thought. I'll have another chat to her soon about it and let you know more.
NeonVomit wrote:And the whole 'press conspiracy anti-government propaganda' theory is a stretch. Or maybe it's like the OPEC conspiracy to destroy the US economy you mentioned?
NeonVomit wrote:Are you saying the press should blindly support the government no matter what, and anything other is treason? Rubbish.
NeonVomit wrote:The press should attack, question, probe. A free, critical press is what keeps democracy alive and breathing, and the government and politicians should be terrified of the press and the people.
NeonVomit wrote:If it's the other way round, then you have a dictatorship. Unless you have a population made up of complete sheep-like idiots, people will come to their own conclusions (and filter out the tabloid nonsense in the process).
NeonVomit wrote:Are you saying the American public are sheep?
I think you missed the point of that story. That event showed the lengths fighters on the other side would go to, to ensure victory. Actions that they knew Americans would never try to copy. Kurtz was praising them for their will, and not the actual actions they carried out. I imagine that this was based on a similar factual incident, perhaps not as horrible but you can see similar examples of this happening every day, around the world.The events described by the character of Kurtz were fictional. If such an event ever did happen, (the pile of arms from kids that had been inoculated), then those responsible should have been hunted down and executed immediately. There is no honor in doing things like that. And there is no excuse for it. It does not make heroes out of the insurgents.
Your paranoia comes out again. Why did we not see any of this during the Second World War? Or the Korean war? And before you say anything about the changes in broadcasting and reporting, how about the 1990 Gulf War? Of course, there were dissenting voices to each of those wars like there are to any conentious issue, but nowhere nearly as many as either the Vietnam war or the current Iraq conflict.The liberals, the hippies, the news media, and others in the anti-war movement did not want victory. They have long hated the military establishment, and will do anything possible to impede the progress of any war. Does this also suggest that ARVN soldiers were any less motivated, or is it possible that their collapse was due to the fact that a democratically controlled Congress stopped funding them?
To suggest that all of the US wanted victory less than the NVA or VC is not 100% accurate. The anti-war left, of course, did not want victory. They feel that the military is evil, and that the US does not need to ever fire a shot in anger, regardless of the situation.
And that is exactly why everyone blames the President, Vice-President and former Defence Secretary of the USA for the current mess, and not the armed forces themselves. You see very few people criticizing the Army. They're doing what they can in their difficult situation.IF- you send troops in to do a job, it is important for the politicians to set the objectives, provide the resources, and then get the hell out of the way, and let the Army do it's job. If not, then don't send them. Period.
It's good to see you agree with what someone who actually knows what's going on.That's one reason why I hate the war protesters so much- they really don't care about what's going on in Iraq, all that they are here for is to be good little Marxists and condemn anything that the Bush administration does.
Who said everyone wants to have the same mission and objectives? Perhaps distraction from the 'mission' is a good thing. It prevents single-mindedness and opens eyes to more wide-reaching matters. The press expresses this sentiment. And this is not WWII. If someone did things like imprison journalists, America will have already lost.In my opinion, all the press is doing is whatever it can to damage the administration, and thus, the country itself. It distracts from our mission, and our objectives. President Roosevelt would probably have had people like Wolf Blitzer, and most definitely Michael Moore, imprisoned for violation of the treason and sedition act.
So anywhere that tends to vote Democrat. I think many people in those places would claim he means the oppositeI think that my friend meant the left coast, as well as the northeast.
I write loads as well for my university course, I just never shut up any wayCarcass wrote:I'm too lazy to write these essay posts, I get to write too much at the university.
But I'd like to point out that Putin most probably is not behind the murders, cause the killings are damaging his position and credibility more than those journalists did.
That's like using a lawnmower to remove a few weedsCarcass wrote:Drive-by shooting with a bazooka, pretty wild.

No offense taken at all, @NV, and will do my best to reply on this post as well as time permits. I feel that Iran is very epicenter of this entire Islamic terror thing though, and will elaborate shortly.NeonVomit wrote:(DISCLAIMER: I am very, very, VERY drunk while writing this, so please do NOT take offence miditek/shurik/anyone else who may disagree with me)miditek wrote:I'll check the BBC article out in just a minute. In the meantime, here's another one to check out.Carcass wrote:Exactly, this is why I'm positive about the sanctions.
The Coming War with Islam
frontpagemag.com/Articles/ReadArticle.asp?ID=27385
The interviewer, a Dachau survivor, interviews an Israeli Arab who is a former history instructor.
Welcome to the club!!!NeonVomit wrote:I'm far too thin and actually a bit underweight, as well as had lost all of the fitness I gained in the army
You're all talking about President Ahmadinejad as if he has real power in Iran's international affairs when he does not. The office of the presidency in Iran is nothing like, say, the office of the presidency in the United States.
He doesn't run the country. The country is run by the Grand Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Hossayni Khameneî, who is elected by the religious Assemby of Experts. The President is head of the executive branch of government, but is not in charge of the armed forces (as the US president is considered the Commander in Chief) and does not declare war. Those duties are reserved for the Supreme Leader - Ayatollah Khamenei - at whose pleasure the president serves (despite being elected, he can be dismissed by the Supreme Leader, who is his organizational boss).
As head of the executive branch, President Ahmadinejad accepts the credentials of ambassadors, submits bills to the legislature, appoints cabinet members, and so on. But don't confuse this with actual power.
The Supreme Leader - Ayatollah Khamenei - can declare war and peace, is in charge of the military, appoints the heads of the national radio and television, and all the leaders of all the military branches. That's actual power.
President Ahmadinejad is a "lightning rod". It's my opinion that he serves the mullahs who run Iran extremely well in that role.
The Iranian pursuit of nuclear weapons is a rational course of action, based on Iran's self-interest. The fact that they are surrounded by hostile forces make it an eminently sensible policy. That policy is in opposition to general US interests in the region. We may not *like* it - but it is a rational policy. Saying that Iran is crazy for pursuing such a course is not really accurate, in my opinion.
Likewise, suggesting that "Ahmadinejad wants a showdown" also seems silly to me. After all - all they really need to do is wait until the US leaves Iraq, and they'll be well on the way towards establishing a Sharia-based return of the Persian Empire, either through partnership with the Shi'a in Iraq or through integration. This is something that *is* in their interests.
Iran is in a relative position of strength - not weakness - vis a vis the power politics of the region. They're relatively safe in terms of the country - they have every reason to believe that an attack on Iran would not succeed, since the attack on Iraq has not worked out the way that the US leadership has hoped, plus Iran is much larger than Iraq and the terrain is more unforgiving. Since it's now clear that the "more technology = fewer boots on the ground" strategy of the US Defense Department (begun with troop drawdowns during the George HW Bush presidency and continued during the Clinton years, culminating with the first George W Bush administration) is a failure, there will necessarily be a "boots on the ground" campaign in Iran if US goals are to be met. There is no political will in the US for such a campaign.
The Iranians aren't seeking a conflict. They don't have to have one. All they have to do is wait.
Just sayin'.
If Iran fires any missiles at US naval forces, I think that they'll live to regret it. In addition to, let's say, several thousand cruise missiles being launched in response by the US, having a blockade of gasoline on Iran (they have very little refinery capabilities, and import most of their gas), would bring their war machine to a grinding halt.stratobabius wrote:Yesterday night was quite shocking. Oil went up more than 5 dollars (around 68 $) when rumours came out that Iran launched a missile at a US plane carrier (how do they call these things really?)
Since this was not true though the price fell again.
I feel this time if something happens, the 100 $ mark will be pretty easy to pass...
That's why it looked suspicious.NeonVomit wrote:Again, read what my friend has said on the issue. Iran will not launch a missile at anyone any time soon. It is not in their interests to do so.
Correct that with anyone.miditek wrote:If Iran fires any missiles at US naval forces, I think that they'll live to regret it.
I'm sort of siding with Bush on this one.. I know, I know.. I checked my temperature, I don't have a fever, I'm not delirious, I'm not on drugs!browneyedgirl wrote:What do you guys think of the March 2008 deadline Congress passed for USA troops to leave Iraq?
Yeah as always, let's hope for the best.Anyway, I think a year should give sufficient time to get Iraq in better shape.
I did read your friend's post, and it was very well written. I always pay attention (if not always agree) with what people that are in the know (like your friend) have to say.NeonVomit wrote:Again, read what my friend has said on the issue. Iran will not launch a missile at anyone any time soon. It is not in their interests to do so.
I was among the ones that cursed Exxon, most do when we see the law of diminishing returns applied directly at the gasoline pump, but after seeing their quarterly financial statements, I do have to say that 10% net income is not exactly what I'd call "excessive profits".NeonVomit wrote:Oil prices are jumpy, because the futures traders on Wall Street are jumpy (and THEY are the ones who state oil prices, not the oil companies, so next time don't bother cursing Exxon-Mobil for paying through the nose at the pump. Exxon-Mobil are one of the world's most profitable companies, because they are one of the world's best run and best managed companies).
Weirdly enough, the book "Heart of Darkness" was first published in 1901. I guess some things about human nature don't change much. Just fill in some local color and you have a story about Vietnam. :\miditek wrote:NeonVomit wrote:Faced against fighters like the ones Kurtz described, who would do the most horrible atrocious things for what they saw as defending their country against foreign intervention, how could someone who didn't even WANT to be in the military, let alone Vietnam, hope to compete?
The events described by the character of Kurtz were fictional. If such an event ever did happen, (the pile of arms from kids that had been inoculated), then those responsible should have been hunted down and executed immediately. There is no honor in doing things like that. And there is no excuse for it. It does not make heroes out of the insurgents. Kurtz's character was at least loosely based on former Green Beret Colonel James "Bo" Gritz though.
Iran should be a piece of cake.... just send in 300 Greek guys!! It's apparently been done before ...browneyedgirl wrote:Reckon Bush will start a war in Iran just to keep the thing going?
miditek wrote:NeonVomit wrote:Faced against fighters like the ones Kurtz described, who would do the most horrible atrocious things for what they saw as defending their country against foreign intervention, how could someone who didn't even WANT to be in the military, let alone Vietnam, hope to compete?
The events described by the character of Kurtz were fictional. If such an event ever did happen, (the pile of arms from kids that had been inoculated), then those responsible should have been hunted down and executed immediately. There is no honor in doing things like that. And there is no excuse for it. It does not make heroes out of the insurgents. Kurtz's character was at least loosely based on former Green Beret Colonel James "Bo" Gritz though.
Yes, it is most definitely an old book, what I meant by the comparisons of Kurtz to Gritz was that the screenplay itself was heavily modified by Coppola.JensJohansson wrote:Weirdly enough, the book "Heart of Darkness" was first published in 1901. I guess some things about human nature don't change much. Just fill in some local color and you have a story about Vietnam. :\
The Last Temptation of the Mahdi? -or- Mahmoud Don't Surf!JensJohansson wrote:I shudder to think how the script for the movie "Apocalypse 2068" might read ...
Yeah, I get super paranoid whenever I see that screenNot Found
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NeonVomit wrote:Yeah, I get super paranoid whenever I see that screenNot Found
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